The 0.4% Peace Probability: What Polymarket’s Geopolitical Bet Reveals About Market Fiction and Liquidity Fragility
You are mistaken if you think prediction markets are efficient probability...
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward halving event
92 million ARB released
Team and early investor shares released
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$78,179.8 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$2,453.39 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$105.22 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$692.5 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.4 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0853 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.2016 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$7.32 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8438 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$11.46 |
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